The General Assembly of the Organization of American States (OAS) analyzes a draft resolution that opens the possibility of applying strong institutional punishment to Nicaragua for its systematic violation of human rights to perpetuate the fierce dictatorship ruled by Daniel Ortega and his wife Rosario Murillo.
The draft resolution is led by the United States, Canada, Chile, Antigua and Barbuda and Panama, while Argentina, Bolivia and Mexico will abstain at the time of voting in the General Assembly. Chancellor Santiago Cafiero – starting at 1 pm – will set the diplomatic position of the Casa Rosada and its line of argument will be based on the legal principle of non-interference in the internal affairs of the countries.
The political perspective of Alberto Fernández before the Nicaragua Case part of an ethical assumption that does not fit into the modus operandi of the Sandinista regime. The President confuses respect for electoral processes with manipulation of the elections to preserve hegemonic power.
Dictators Ortega and Murillo imprisoned all opposition candidates and they appropriated the November 7 elections to obtain a victory at the polls that commemorate the electoral victories of Fidel Castro, Haffez el Asad and Nicolas Maduro.
Raising non-intervention in the internal affairs of Nicaragua is an argument that only serves as an alibi for Ortega’s benefit and does not provide any geopolitical or economic gain for Argentina. Alberto Fernández pays all costs on the international board, and it also leaves a flank open to the opposition when the elections are four days away.
The draft resolution needs 18 votes to be approved by the General Assembly, and the ambassadors of the United States and Canada are working after hours to reach a consensus that allows sanctioning the illegal conduct of the Sandinista regime. Until last night, the project established the following:
“1. Regret that the diplomatic and technical initiatives undertaken since June 5, 2018 by the Organization of American States to promote representative democracy and the protection of human rights in Nicaragua they have not been successful because they have been flatly ignored or rejected by the Nicaraguan government.
2. Declare that, in the evident circumstances, the elections of November 7 in Nicaragua were not free, fair or transparent and do not have democratic legitimacy.
3. Conclude that, based on the principles established in the OAS Charter and the Inter-American Democratic Charter, democratic institutions in Nicaragua have been seriously undermined.
Four. Reiterate its previous calls for the release of all political prisoners and candidates and an immediate end to the arrest and harassment of independent media and members of civil society.
5. Instruct the Permanent Council to conduct an immediate collective assessment of the situation, in accordance with the Charter of the Organization of American States and the Inter-American Democratic Charter, to be completed no later than November 30 and to take appropriate action. ”
If the United States obtains the 18 votes necessary to pass this resolution in the General Assembly, the institutional process against Nicaragua could reach the speed of light. Joseph Biden faces the regime of Ortega and Murillo, and is betting on the suspension of Nicaragua in the OAS.
Biden has domestic problems to solve, and a diplomatic kick to the Sandinista dictatorship would improve – a little – his presidential image. In this context, the White House also leads public movements against Cuba and monitors – in a reserved way – how the negotiations are progressing in Mexico to end the populist regime of Maduro in Venezuela.
The draft resolution establishes the political and legal arguments to justify an eventual condemnation of Nicaragua -points 1 to 4-, and fixes – in point 5 – an ultimatum to Ortega with an end date of November 30. The probable sanction of the Sandinista dictatorship is linked to the number of votes obtained by the United States and its allies.
2/3 of the OAS member states (35) are needed to suspend Nicaragua until it recovers its democratic system. And if the Permanent Council does not obtain such diplomatic support, those responsible for the project will adapt the final punishment to the votes they obtain in the secret negotiations.
In other words, more votes in the Permanent Council, greater punishment for Nicaragua. And the sanction can range from suspension as a member of the OAS, to a slap on the wrist that would include – yes or yes – the immediate release of the presidential candidates and all the political prisoners imprisoned by the Sandinista dictatorship.
Alberto Fernandez will insist with its position of non-interference in the internal affairs of the country, and will order abstention when the project led by the United States is voted on. Argentina will be on the other side of the ideological border, along with Bolivia, Mexico and Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, an island that is ruled by a dictator who is called Mini Castro.