After the undersecretary of Prevention and Health Promotion, Hugo Lopez-Gatell, to estimate that in Mexico there are approximately 26 thousand cases of coronavirus, politicians and opinion-leaders reacted in real-time on their social networks.
During the daily report on Covid-19 from National Palace, López Gatell revealed that it is estimated that in the country there are 26 thousand cases of coronavirus. This means that for every confirmed case, there are at least eight that have not been detected by the health systemeither because they didn’t go to the doctor or because they applied the screening test.
To do this, one of the first reactions was the former president Felipe Calderón, whom he called “cynicism” the assessment of the SSa. “There are thousands of cases that went to consultation, were returned to their homes and denied the practice test #coronavirus”, she said on Twitter.
how many cases are there in the population that did not see, because there came to visit? What cynicism. There are thousands of cases that went to consultation, were returned to their homes and denied the practice test #coronavirus https://t.co/K56fgJkkgV
— Felipe Calderón (@FelipeCalderon) April 9, 2020
For his part Solange Márquez, article writer of this publishing house, questioned the estimated figures of contagion by Covid-19 in Mexico. “What about these bases is designed, the emergency policy in our country?”, he asked.
Mexico is perhaps the only country that in their figures of contagion by COVID-19 features 1) Confirmed Cases; 2)Suspected Cases, and now also 3) Cases estimated…. really? What about these bases is designed, the emergency policy in our country?
— Solange Marquez ツ (@solange_) April 9, 2020
The economist Valeria Moy tweeted: “Well, thanks to @richardjensor we have the information that was presented today”.
Well, thanks to @richardjensor we have the information that was presented today. Thanks, Richard!
— Valeria Moy (@ValeriaMoy) April 9, 2020
The foregoing, then, that in an interview with the deputy secretary, the reporter Richard Ensor asked him about the government’s efforts to provide a black figure to the cases of Covid-19.
“How do you know that the sample is representative, if by definition excludes asymptomatic? and what is the margin of error and the confidence interval of the estimate?”, were the doubts of Alejandro Hope, also a columnist of THE UNIVERSALon the data provided by the method in Sentinel.
Interesting explanation of the method of sentinel. I still have some questions: 1) how do you know that the sample is representative, if by definition excludes asymptomatic?, 2) what is the margin of error and the confidence interval of the estimate? 1/
— Alexander Hope (@ahope71) April 9, 2020
In counterpart Pedro Salmerón, who was the director of the National Institute of Historical Studies of Revolutions in mexico, defended Lopez-Gatell, for her ability and clarity in explaining the method of Sentinel.
Click @HLGatelluntil envy gives me: because I want to be able to explain as clearly as were the battles of the Bajío
— Pedro Salmerón Sanginés (@HistoriaPedro) April 9, 2020
“Do not warn dishonesty in López-Gatell… history will tell if the strategy of the HLG was right,” said Leon Krauze, a columnist for the Great Journal of Mexico.
“So soon, I appreciate the discussion will lead an expert and not a politician. Is gain.”
Do not warn dishonesty in @HLGatell.
Has explained repeatedly that Mexico uses the method of sentinel surveillance.
History will tell if the strategy of the HLG has been the correct one.
So soon, I appreciate the discussion will lead an expert and not a politician. Is gain.
— León Krauze (@LeonKrauze) April 9, 2020