This winter’s balance of deaths reveals unprecedented data

So far this winter, something has happened that hasn’t happened yet since the beginning of the epidemic: Lots of flu death domestically surpassed Coronavirus. This is clear from the official data reported in the National Epidemiological Bulletin released this Saturday.

Over the past two months, from July 4th to today, there have been 76 people die from flu, 49 from coronavirus. That means 1.26 people die from influenza every day, compared to 1 every 29 hours for SARS-CoV-2.The difference is 55%. However, this by no means means that the new coronavirus is less deadly than the flu virus.

The explanation lies in roll and cycle.Not so much because of the peculiarities of flu cases registered this year (indeed, there will be more in 2022), but because unprecedented reduction The level of spread of Covid. Now it’s starting to change direction again.

For both infections, cases were severely underreported, but treating this deficit as a constant is still the number of infections actually registered.As can be seen from these figures, recognizing the dangers of the two viruses is undisputedly key: so far this year, the new coronavirus has 43 times fatal

than the flu.

The 2023 flu death rate so far is 0.01%based on 87 deaths and 711,443 registered cases that have occurred; while for Covid it is 0.43%considering 336 deaths and 77,017 reported cases.

Since the beginning of winter, the number of new crown cases has decreased, while the number of flu cases has increased.As expected, only in the last two weeks horn, the equation starts to change.While the positivity rate for influenza continues to decline (4.48%), the positivity rate for COVID-19 is now did not stop increasing (Up from 16% to 24% last week).

Considering the last data, we have to look at the behavior of the new crown case curve from now on, and the growth that has been observed able Impact on weekly deaths Ministry of Health report.

Currently, official information indicates that Hospitalizations for COVID-19 are on the rise, which is usually a step before the death toll increases. Between mid-March and mid-May, the country’s average 52 hospitalizations per week (range 37 to 63), the number has passed since then 123 hospitalizations per week

more than doubled (range 53 to 193).

However, this figure is well below the number of hospitalizations registered each week in the first ten weeks of the year, when the average 268which fluctuates between a minimum value of 57 and a peak value of 1,118.

Coronavirus cases are increasing around the world.The World Health Organization (WHO) reports that 38% increase During August. This increase has also been evident in Argentina over the past five weeks, no exception.

Due to this changing situation, and it has been confirmed that the virus emerged in Wuhan three and a half years ago still more aggressive

In contrast to flu, authorities are asking people to complete a pending vaccination boost: every six months or annually, as the case may be.

The reality is that the COVID-19 truce this winter coincided with the World Health Organization declaring the pandemic over on May 5.then stay motivated less than 10%, these key figures give us a glimpse of what the virus might look like in the near future. So much so that the number of deaths ended up being lower than the number of flu deaths during the analysis period.

On the other hand, in the present case, 24% positive Different fields of view are mapped in surveillance units by PCR, while two new fast-growing subvariants of Omicron: EG.5 and BA.2.86. They have not been proven to be more virulent, but the spread of the former has (most importantly) coincided with an increase in the number of cases worldwide.

While the virus is not expected to reach the level of damage shown in the past, concerns are largely due to most vulnerable group Consider the potential upside of the curve.

This Saturday afternoon, the Anibar Sierra Hospital in the state of Río Negro reported the deaths of two patients aged 78 and 84, both of whom had underlying medical conditions.A medical source at the health center said: “The coronavirus was not the determining factor for these deaths, but obviously having it doesn’t help. That’s why we reiterate the need to remain vigilant and get vaccinated.”