Will a new front be opened against Israel? This is Hezbollah’s win-win tactic

Continuing its bombing of Gaza, Israel is also targeting Hamas targets with ground forces through precise operations.

What confirms the information that conflicts also occur in the tunnels is that Israel is also waging a low-intensity conflict on the Lebanese border.

Israel responds to rocket and missile attacks carried out by Hezbollah members in the region with air strikes and artillery shelling.

Although fears of the possibility of igniting a second front in a regional war are still present, it appears that the dilemma facing Hezbollah is what determines the fate of the region.

After years of preparing for war with Israel, Hezbollah was forced to choose between maintaining its credibility as a defender of the Palestinians or dragging Lebanon into an all-out war.

Throughout its forty-year history, Hezbollah has defined itself as a resistance movement dedicated to protecting Lebanon, fighting against Israel, and supporting the Palestinians’ quest for statehood.

Hezbollah’s response has been measured so far after Israel launched limited ground attacks on Friday after Gaza was isolated from the world and the death toll in the region exceeded 8,000.

However, Hezbollah’s measured position may be part of a “win-win” strategy.


The scope of clashes on the Lebanese border has gradually expanded over the weeks, but has not yet escalated into a full-blown war. In the first phase, the two sides began exchanging artillery shelling, and Israel brought in drones. These vehicles played an important role in Hezbollah’s losses.




Because there is no need for Hezbollah to cross the border to keep Israel locked in the possibility of war on two fronts.

Israel prevents the army

Thanks to border conflicts, Hezbollah enables the Israeli army to maintain a large number of forces in the region.

Thus, Hezbollah prevents its members from going to Gaza and distances itself from the war and its devastating effects.

In other words, the current situation and most potential developments appear to be in favor of Hezbollah.

If Hezbollah maintains low-level involvement on the Lebanese border, it will disrupt important Israeli military assets.

The current tense but stable, low-intensity confrontation on Israel’s northern border appears to be the ideal situation for both sides.

Both Israel and Hezbollah realize this. But both sides must be concerned about the possibility that a small, unexpected flash could ignite a huge fire that neither side can contain.

Lebanese Prime Minister Najib Mikati drew attention to this situation and warned that the war between Israel and Hamas would lead to chaos in the Middle East, and said that “chaos may spread throughout the region.”

Hezbollah has lost 47 of its fighters in Israeli attacks on the Lebanese border since the war broke out between Hamas and Israel on October 7.

Hezbollah, many of whose fighters were killed in Israeli drone strikes, demonstrated its surface-to-air missile capabilities on Sunday by announcing that it had shot down an Israeli drone.

The Hezbollah leader will speak for the first time

Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah is scheduled to deliver his first public speech on Friday since the beginning of the war between Israel and Hamas.

According to Al-Mayadeen, a news organization known for its closeness to Hezbollah, the speech will be delivered during the ceremony that will be held to commemorate the “martyrs who fell on the road to Jerusalem” at 15:00 local time.

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(Tags for translation)Hezbollah

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